Basic reproduction number and effective reproduction number for North Cyprus for fighting Covid-19

Authors

  • Evren Hincal
  • Bilgen Kaymakamzade
  • Nezihal Gokbulut

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.31489/2020m3/86-95

Keywords:

Covid-19, Northern Cyprus, epidemics, mathematical model

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to show how North Cyprus fought with Covid-19 by using R0 and Rt, as herd immunity. For that purpose, we used a SEIR model for basic reproduction number, R0, and calculated Rt values by using R0 values. North Cyprus is the first country in Europe to free from Covid-19 epidemic. One of the most important reasons for this is that the government decided to tackle Covid-19 pandemic by using R0 and Rt daily. For R0, we constructed a new SEIR model by using real data for North Cyprus. From March 11, 2020 to May 15, 2020, R0 varies from 0.65 to 2.38.

Downloads

Published

2020-09-30

Issue

Section

MATHEMATICS